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How Adrian Beltre could affect the Red Sox interest in Scott Downs 12.08.10 at 4:59 pm ET
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LAKE BUENA VISTA, Fla. — According to a source familiar with the situation, the Red Sox’ interest in Scott Downs may depend on Adrian Beltre‘s landing spot.

Given the Sox’ history, they are inclined to keep as many top draft picks as possible. Downs, the left-hander who spent the last several years in Toronto, is a Type A free agent, meaning the Sox would have to surrender a draft pick in order to sign him. If the team does not sign another Type A free agent, that would require the Sox to give up their first-round pick to sign Downs, the No. 24 overall pick in next year’s draft.

But, if Beltre was to be signed by a team without a protected first-round pick (meaning a team picking after the No. 20 pick), they would get the signing team’s pick. For instance, if the Rangers — who have the No. 26 pick in the draft — moved third baseman Michael Young to another position and signed Beltre, it would mean that the Sox get the first-round pick from Texas.

That would give the Sox three first-round picks (the No. 19 pick from Detroit, their own No. 24 pick, and the pick from the Rangers). According to the source, that may make the Sox more willing to lose a first-round pick.

If, however, a team with one of the first 18 picks in the first round signed Beltre — for example, the Angels, who have the No. 17 pick, or the A’s, who have the No. 18 pick — the Sox would get a second-round pick for him. That would leave the Sox with only two first-round picks, making them more reluctant to part with their own.

The source also said that if the Sox were still in the market for a Type A free agent ranked higher than Downs by the Elias ratings — namely, Carl Crawford — then signing the reliever would cost a second-round pick. That would be another scenario that might make it easier for the Sox to sign Downs and lose a pick.

Read More: Adrian Beltre, carl crawford, Hot Stove, Scott Downs Print  |  Email  |  Bark It Up!  |  Digg It
  • scott

    My understanding was that the top 15 are protected. Top half protected, bottom half not. 30 teams. Angels and Oak would be giving up their 1st rounder for Beltre, unless they signed another higher ranking type A FA. Cliff Lee, Crawford, etc.

  • http://www.weei.com Alex Speier

    Scott its actually the top 18 because 3 teams did not sign their first rounders last year. Oakland and Anaheim will only lose a second rounder if they sign a type A free agent

  • scott

    Ahah. Thanks for clearing that up. Didn’t think about the previous year’s draft. Not particularly good news for the Sox because I think those are the two most likely teams to sign Beltre.

  • Trebecois

    I have a good question Lou, how do you justify your having a 98 speed rating on Baseball Mogul 2009?

  • http://upwardpro.com Ted Chan

    I think Theo is smarter than this. Each draft pick has a $ value to the Red Sox, and having one or two doesn’t decrease the marginal value of another one to them.

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