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MLB Power Rankings, 4/7: How far have the Red Sox fallen? 04.07.11 at 3:23 am ET
By Kirk Minihane

Here we go with Week 2 of the 2011 WEEI.com Major League Baseball Power Rankings. Every Thursday throughout the season we will be bringing you an updated version of the list, which will be determined by record, ranking within each team’s division and which team would have the best chance at winning if participating in a best-of-seven series.

Also this rule: If a team that many felt was a real threat to win 100 games and score 1,000 runs is on pace for zero wins and 518 runs after the first week, they lose the top spot in the rankings.

Feel free to pick apart the admittedly imperfect rankings by emailing kminihane@weei.com or sending a message via Twitter to twitter.com/kirkmin. Have at it.

(Note: Team record and last week’s ranking is in parentheses and all stats are through 4/6.)

Texas Rangers1. Rangers (6-0, 6). An absolute beat-down of the Sox and a win over Felix Hernandez means a five-spot jump to the top spot for the AL champs. I guess I’d ask this after watching the three-game massacre over the weekend, though: We knew the lineup was good (though I’m guessing they won’t be hitting 11 HRs a series), we knew the bullpen was good, but is that rotation going to be good enough to get the Rangers to 90+ wins?

Philadelphia Phillies 2. Phillies (4-1, 2). Was going to put them in the top spot until Cole Hamels tossed a Lackey against the Mets on Tuesday night (2.2 innings, seven hits, six runs). Wilson Valdez had a terrific first week filling in for Chase Utley, hitting .364.

New York Yankees3. Yankees (3-2, 3). Lost in the fast start for Mark Teixeira and Alex Rodriguez is Derek Jeter continues to look lost at the plate (.167/.273/.167). Even his Intangible Rating and Wanting To Win More Than You Percentage is down from 2010.

Boston Red Sox4. Red Sox (0-5, 1). Pitcher A: 4.69 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, Pitcher B: 4.63 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP.

Pitcher A is John Lackey in his Red Sox career. Pitcher B is A.J. Burnett in his Yankees career. If we all agree that Burnett has been, to date, an absolute disaster of a contract, don’t we have to say the same about Lackey one year and one start into his five-year, $82 million deal?

Atlanta Braves 5. Braves (3-3, 5). I understand the AL/NL difference, and you’d have to factor in age as well, but if the Braves called the Sox tomorrow and offered Derek Lowe straight up for Lackey would you make the deal? I guess probably not, Lowe is going to be 38 in June and is just a year removed from a 4.67 ERA/1.52 WHIP season. He’s off to a strong start in 2011, though, with a 0.77 ERA in his first two starts.

Cincinnati Reds6. Reds (5-0, 10). On the subject of former Idiots (does one ever lose idiot status, I wonder? Watching ESPN the other night, I can tell you Rick Sutcliffe sure hasn’t …), Bronson Arroyo won his first start of the season. Lowe and Arroyo have been gone for a combined 11 seasons and have made at least 30 starts in all of ‘em. Arroyo is 71-60 for the Reds, with a 3.97 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Wily Mo Pena? According to the club’s webiste, Pena is one of the “exciting newcomers” for Arizona’s Triple-A affiliate in Reno. Pena last played in a big-league game on July 12, 2008.

Colorado Rockies7. Rockies (3-1, 8). The good: The Rockies won two of their first three to open the season, allowing just seven earned runs in 29.o IP (2.17 ERA). The bad: Five of those runs came off of Ubaldo Jimenez (now on DL with a thumb injury) on Opening Day, a start that looked a lot more like the 2010 second-half Jimenez (4-7, 3.80 ERA) than the first half Cy Young front-runner (15-1, 2.20).

San Francisco Giants8. Giants (2-4, 4). Matt Cain and Tim Lincecum (combined 13 scoreless innings) were brilliant against the Dodgers, but the Giants are 1-4 thanks to an offense that had a slugging percentage of just .358 in the Dodgers’ series. Through five games, the Giants have just 13 walks against 39 strikeouts.

Los Angeles Dodgers9. Dodgers (3-3, 12). I pegged Clayton Kershaw as a Cy Young sleeper last week, and he’s looked the part after two starts (2.08 ERA, 17 strikeouts/two walks). And here’s why you can’t look at saves when judging how well a closer is pitching: Jonathan Broxton leads the majors with three saves, but with an ERA of 6.00 (he gave up runs with three and two-run leads in the ninth inning).

Chicago White Sox10. White Sox (3-2, 11). The bizarro Giants to this point, scoring a ton of runs (only the Yankees and Rangers scored more through Tuesday, and each have played one more game than the White Sox) but with a 6.27 ERA. They aren’t going to score 7.5 runs a game all year, but they offense should be fine. And the pitching won’t be this bad, but when you look at this rotation (Gavin Floyd, John Danks, Edwin Jackson and Mark Buehrle) there isn’t a guy that you know is going to have a big year.

Los Angeles Angels11Angels (3-3, 13). From last week’s Power Rankings: “The Angels could sure use the pre-2009 Scott Kazmir if they want to make a run at the AL West title.” Kazmir’s first start? Five hits, five runs, two walks, two HBP and zero strikeouts in 1.2 innings against a Royals team that I’m pretty sure didn’t have Amos Otis, Hal McRae or George Brett in the lineup.

Oakland Athletics12. Athletics (1-4, 7). I’m not dropping them five spots because they lost three-of-four to start the season, I’m dropping them because I had them ranked too high a week ago. I got sucked into the hip pick (The desire to seem hip is a dangerous drug. Be careful, it can lead to horrible things, like going to see The Smiths in concert.) Sure, the pitching is swell, but Coco Crisp as your leadoff hitter? Josh Willingham cleanup? Hideki Matsui fifth? I don’t see how they get to the 90-92 wins you are going to need to make the postseason. And this is coming from a guy who listens to Arcade Fire and reads Jonathan Franzen.

Minnesota Twins13. Twins (2-3, 14). You know it’s too early to put stock in any numbers when Dernard Span has more hits, homers and RBI than Joe Mauer and Justin Morneau combined.

Toronto Bluejays14. Blue Jays (4-1, 19). “Thank God we didn’t get no-hit today.” That was a quote from Span after facing Kyle Drabek last Saturday. Drabek gave up just a hit over seven innings against the Twins, striking out seven against three walks. Drabek — according to Fangraphs — didn’t throw a single cutter in his three 2010 starts, but threw 13 in the win over the Twins.

Baltimore Orioles15. Orioles (4-1, 24). OK, they probably won’t be this high again this season, but the 4-0 start deserves a bump. The offense has done nothing (two HRs in first 138 plate appearances, .268 OBP), but when you have a 1.00 ERA it doesn’t matter. For what it’s worth, the Orioles are 38-24 since Buck Showalter took over last August, the best record in the American League.

Tampa Bay Rays16. Rays (0-5, 9). Best player injured? Check. Put a total of three runs on the board in the first three games of the season? Yup. The two big off-season additions to the lineup combine for two hits in 27 at-bats? Done and done. I’m buying the extra 2%, I really am, but this isn’t exactly following the playbook of the 1984 Detroit Tigers.

Detroit Tigers17. Tigers (2-3, 15). Brad Penny has to be a real concern, right? He was brutal against the Yankees on Saturday (eight runs in 4.1 IP) and now has a career 5.96 ERA in 25 career American League starts (3.99 ERA in 264 National League starts). Coin flip at best that he stays in the rotation until the All-Star break.

Florida Marlins18. Marlins (3-2, 17). Hanley Ramirez is a career .308/.391/.507 hitter in April, but only put up a .279/.386/.395 line last April. And he’s off to another slow start, with just three hits in his first 18 at-bats. Something else to keep an eye on with Ramirez — in 2008 he walked 92 times, sixth in the NL. The last two seasons he dropped to 61 and 64 walks, and so far has just a single walk in 19 plate appearances.

Chicago Cubs19. Cubs (3-3, 20). We all had Starlin Castro in the “First player to get to 10 hits” pool, didn’t we? He hit .300 in 125 games last year — but with a slugging percentage of just .408 — Castro had eight hits in the season opening three-game series vs. the Pirates, including a pair of triples.

Saint Louis Cardinals20. Cardinals (2-4, 16). Probably a mistake to knock them down four spots, they’ve really done nothing wrong in the first week. I feel like you can rank the Tigers, Marlins, Cubs and Cardinals in any order and you’re just as likely to be right as wrong.

New York Mets21. Mets (3-2, 21). Chris Young could turn out to be one of the great bargains in 2011. There’s a reason he’s making only $1.1 million this season — he’s made only a total of 33 starts the last three seasons — but this is a guy with a career 3.78 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 7.8 K per nine innings. Sure, he’ll almost certainly wind up on the DL a couple of times, but for short money there is real upside. His first start was a good one, giving up a run with seven strikeouts over 5.1 innings to get the win over the Phillies.

San Diego Padres22. Padres (3-2, 22). The Padres won 90 games in the NL West last season with good starting pitching and — except for Adrian Gonzalez — almost zero offense (no regular other than Gonzalez had an OPS over .732). The formula is working again early this season, as the Padres won three of their first four games despite hitting just .215 and slugging .315, thanks to a pitching staff with an ERA of 2.19.

Milwaukee Brewers23. Brewers (2-4, 18). Rickie Weeks — who did walk 76 times last season — has yet to draw a free pass in 21 plate appearances. Usually an OBP of .286 (with a 0/7 BB/K rate) equals an unproductive offensive player, but Weeks leads the NL with three HRs and 17 total bases.

Kansas City Royals24. Royals (4-2, 29). I hate to sound like this kind of guy, but unless you’re at least 35 years old it’s kind of hard to understand that the Royals — not the Yankees or Red Sox — were the dominant AL team from the mid 70′s to mid 1980′s. From 1975-85 they won six division titles, two AL titles and a World Series. Six seasons with at least 90 wins, including 102 in 1977. Since 1985? One 90-win season and zero playoff appearances. They won’t win 90 games this year, but it’s nice to see a 4-2 start. Maybe they’ll stick around for the summer and contend in the AL Central (they haven’t finished second in a non-strike season since 1989).

Cleveland Indians25. Indians (3-2, 27). I’m setting the over/under on All-Star Games for Carlos Santana at 4.5 and taking the over. He’s Victor Martinez all over again, but with even better plate discipline (39 walks in his first 50 games, career .405 OPB, nearly 40 points higher than Martinez’s career total).

Pittsburgh Pirates26. Pirates (4-2, 30). If the Pirates finish over .500 it’ll be for the first time since 1992. The ace of that staff was 29-year-old Doug Drabek. His son Kyle, then four years old, is now the 23-year-old ace in waiting for the Blue Jays. Point is it’s been a while since the Pirates picked up win No. 82.

Washington Nationals27. Nationals (1-4, 25). I wrote this the day the Sox signed Carl Crawford, but someone still has to explain to me why the Jayson Werth contract was universally crapped on while the Crawford deal was been given a complete tongue bath. What am I missing? Werth career line: .272/.367/.481. Crawford: .296/.337/.444.  I’d take Werth over Crawford if everything was equal, but at $20 million less it’s not even close. So far this year (and yes, I know it’s too early to be serious about this): Werth .333/.412/.533, Crawford .133/.188/.133.

Seattle Mariners28. Mariners (2-4, 28). Kind of Old Guy Post No. 2: Felix Hernandez — the best (or second-best, Roy Halladay is right there) pitcher in baseball — pitched a complete game on Opening Day. That was the 14th complete game of his career (173 starts). Steve Carlton, who also pitched for lousy teams early in his career, had at least 14 complete games in eight different seasons, including 30 in 1972, when he won 27 games for a Phillies team that finished 59-97 (yup, you read that correctly).

Houston Astros29. Astros (0-5, 23). Talk about a hideous start — the Astros had a team ERA of 7.79 and hit just .215 while being swept by the Phillies. And I know Sox fans aren’t going to believe this, but Brandon Lyon (20.25 ERA, 4.50 WHIP) might not be the answer at closer.

Arizona Diamondbacks30. Diamondbacks (2-3, 26). Here’s one for you: Kirk Gibson never led the major leagues in a single offensive category during his 17-year career. He was second in triples in 1983 and second in runs in his MVP 1988 season.

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  • Jack

    I find it hard to read this without either crying because I feel bad for you or laughing because you are a mindless dope. You have a team that is WINLESS!!!! at # 4. Sit there for a second and ask yourself, Does that make sense? Take a second Kirk. You are in denial along with the rest of some fans. Im sure if the Yankees started 0-5 you would have them ranked #4 as well. Stick to your Spring Training bits on WEEI because you are obviously and OVERPAID JAG (just another guy) who has no concept of reality or what is going on.

    Yours Truly
    A Loyal Listener

    p.s. Im sure 98.5 ratings dont have the Sox listed 4th. Maybe you should review their website and learn a thing or too.

  • Matt Zagaeski

    C’mon I love the sox as much as anybody else but #4? They shouldn’t be any higher than 20. The pitching has been mediocre and the offense has been spotty. Bullpen has done nothing great either. You might want to take another look at these rankings.

  • babe ruth

    Shouldn’t the Indians be ranked higher since they put a beat down on the Sox? The Sox won’t even make the playoffs
    When the Yankees come to town and buried them

  • Joe

    How do you have the Red Sox at 4. This is a power rankings guy. It goes week by week and so far the Red Sox have been getting hammered. Terrible starting pitching and the 126 million dollar man is off to his worst career start. Once they start winning they deserve to be up in the top 5 so stop being such a homer and going by what you think they are going to be and go by what they are right now. And currently what they are is an 0-5 team.

  • Just Wow

    Fourth?!? Are you cereal, Kirk? C’mon, if you sit back, close your eyes and think about it real hard (and a little more objectively), I have no doubt that this time you’ll come to the conclusion that you really should have ranked them number one.

  • CHris

    Man whomever published this list should honestly have his press credentials revoked.. What a HOMER. 0-5 Sox #4.. ROFLMFAO.. WHAT A JOKE.

  • Mike

    Brewers are number 23 while the Red Sox are number 4….what?

  • Wow

    Red Sox at 4th, Rays at 16th and the Padres at 22? Come on, the list is terrible.

  • Bryan

    It seems this list was compiled with the future in mind, not as the snapshot of NOW that it’s supposed to be.

  • http://Enteryourwebsite... Joe M

    I agree..whoever puts this together was either high or a RedSox fan. C’mon the orioles are 4-1 sweeping the reining AL east champs and they have them at 15? I’m not saying the Os are a better team then the Yankees or RedSox but right now they are! And that’s what power rankings are about..right now.

  • Pete

    The Astros are 0-5 and look like a bunch of high school players, but the DBacks are worse? You gotta be kidding, I feel like you are an idiot and nobody should read your posts.

  • Nick

    “Pitcher A is John Lackey in his Red Sox career. Pitcher B is A.J. Burnett in his Yankees career. If we all agree that Burnett has been, to date, an absolute disaster of a contract, don’t we have to say the same about Lackey one year and one start into his five-year, $82 million deal?”

    No. If Lackey puts up a sub-2 WAR season this year, as Burnett did in the second year of his deal, sure. But I’m not anticipating that based on one start.

  • ElTurtle

    Just wanted to echo everyone else. How can you consider this a legitimate power rankings with Red Sox at #4? This is week by week and since this is the start of the season you should large fluctuations that aren’t really realistic, but will balance out later.

  • http://Enteryourwebsite... Scott

    I think what everyone fails to see is that there are a LOT of factors that go into these power rankings. Sure the Orioles are 4-1 but in a 5 or even 7 game series, would you pick them over the Sox, Yankees, Rangers or Phillies? I agree, the Sox 0-5 start is horrendous, and quite frankly laughable, but they faced a Texas team that is RAKING to start the season, and a Cleveland team who is young and hungry with something to prove. Do you foresee the Sox going 0-5 against those teams later this season? No….yes they have crapped the perverbial bed ti start

  • Scott

    But they won’t be that bad all year. So, do I agree with 4 th place….no not necessarily. But its a marathon not a sprint, so I agree with it for overall, all things considered.

  • Mike

    Wow, so power rankings are based on expectations rather than stats? I am actually amazed you don’t place the Red Sox above the Yankees you homer.

  • Eamonn

    lolololololololol 4th?! you idiot

  • willing to listen

    I agree with you completely on the Werth / Crawford deals. I didn’t understand it either: Crawford’s mega-deal got universal love vs the astonished bitterness spewed in Werth’s direction. And though I know all kinds of people willing to speak vehemently regarding the topic, nobody has been able to rationally tell me WHY they have such diametrically opposed opinions about this.

    It seems to me Werth has more tools & more experience. I even looked up the ballpark stats: TB’s ballpark is shorter than CBP for hitting & running around in RF. Crawford had it made there & he’ll have it made at Fenway too. Werth deliberately gave himself a mountain to climb going to the Nats. That’s not an easy mission. I don’t envy him.

  • joker

    0-6 and the yankees are coming. Best team ever

  • #1 WHITE SOX FAN

    go sox hope they win dont want the cubs in the playoffs just got home from the game and relaxin have a good season and lrts do whate we did in 1906 1917 and 2005 do that again in 2011 go sox!

  • Bill

    Kirk, you remain consistently awful and sad.
    The Red Sox are playing horribly. They deserve to be somewhere 20-30.
    No 4?
    really?
    Well the good news for you is your boyhood idols will still talk to you in the lockerroom, making the highlight of your life.
    In the meantime you continue to have zero credibility as a journalist.

  • Billy Madison

    Great point, Jack. If the Yankees were 0-5 (now 0-6), “The Nation” would be killing ‘em and this blog sure as heck wouldn’t rank ‘em 4th best team in baseball. I award you no points, Kirk.

  • Joe

    Red Sox 4th??? Really a leap of faith or stupidity. They should be rated about 20th. I like the San Diego Padres better and they are ranked at #22. Move the Bosox to this spot and that will move the Pads up to #21 where they belong. Power is NOT based on predictions of success but on the strength of the teams right now. Right now the Sox suck.

  • http://www.allthingspats.blogspot.com AllThingsPats

    Although I wouldn’t put the Sox 4th myself, overall I don’t have a problem with this list. Too often power rankings are either simply a list of who had the best week, or a list that is nearly identical to the #1-30 won-loss record. It’s actually refreshing to find a writer form his own opinion on who he thinks the best teams are rather than list week by week over reactions or overall standings.

  • 2loose

    I’m not ready to throw Young under a bus yet…BUT
    I believe the pitching staff misses John Farrell.
    Just my .02….discuss…

  • Jeff

    Theo signing Lackey makes the signings of Lugo & Rentaria look like brilliant moves. Lackey is the new version of Way Back Wasdin

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  • Anonymous

    The NHL is right, we do deserve better. It is time for an overhaul of the NHL front offices. Any league that can justify two locked out seasons in less than ten years should not exist. The people in charge are pathetic, short minded and motivated purely by greed and nothing else. 

    How is it that these entitled NHL owners feel they have the right to deny the NHL fans an entire season so they can bicker over percentages of the shared revenue? 

    These NHL owners did not forge the league, they are not the people that created the sport. Most of them can’t even skate. Almost every one of them inherited their money or their team by accident of birth. What gives them the right to deny millions of people that grew up as fans of the sport, played and still play the sport, sacrifice their hard earned money to buy seats, jerseys, $9 dollars beers, our simple enjoyment of watching the sport and teams we have invested so much time and money on? 

    These owners are exactly what is wrong with this country. Greed has taken priority over everything. No one cares anymore about what is best, or what is just. Everyone is out to just screw everyone else and take as big a piece of the pie as possible. 

    For Jeremy Jacobs, if you were on fire I wouldn’t piss on you to put it out. The Bruins won the cup despite you, and it took longer than I have been alive you fraud.  

  • old, bald and fat couch potato

    Typical whiny liberal crap, deano. Keep blaming rich people and you will be just as miserable as the nhl.

  • tk

    Betteman is a slack jawed weasel! He says that he isn’t concerned about fans being angry and staying away from hockey when it returns because “we have the best fans in the world” he is a condescending little puke. The only thing that CONCERNS him is $ and grubbing up every cent he can. I would love to see fans boycott the nhl for a few games when they decide to start the season, and make these a-holes think for a minute!

  • tk

    Betteman is a slack jawed weasel! He says that he isn’t concerned about fans being angry and staying away from hockey when it returns because “we have the best fans in the world” he is a condescending little puke. The only thing that CONCERNS him is $ and grubbing up every cent he can. I would love to see fans boycott the nhl for a few games when they decide to start the season, and make these a-holes think for a minute!

  • Victor_raschi

    its a good start but we need some more hockey on tv what are networks doing to add some hockey games from across the seas?

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