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What the Red Sox got in Aaron Cook 01.09.12 at 9:00 am ET
By Alex Speier

Aaron Cook has agreed to a minor league deal with the Red Sox. (AP)

A compelling case can be made that newly added Red Sox pitcher Aaron Cook – who has an agreed to terms, pending a physical, on a minor league deal that includes an invitation to big league camp, with a $1.5 million salary should Cook make the big league roster — is the best pure sinkerballer in the majors over the last decade.

The right-hander, who turns 33 next month, has always had below-average swing-and-miss rates. His strikeout rates, too, are typically well below average. That suggests a pitcher who had little or no business succeeding with the Rockies while hitting in Coors Field, a park whose vast expanses give any ball hit in play — especially in the air — an excellent chance of finding a hole.

There are 79 big league pitchers who threw at least 1,000 innings in the last 10 years. Of those, Cook’s 3.8 strikeouts per nine innings represents the lowest mark in the majors.

Yet while Cook did not get swings and misses in his career with the Rockies, he still was a very good pitcher through most of his career in Colorado. In particular, from 2002-09, Cook was 63-50 with a 4.33 ERA (good for an ERA+ of 111, or roughly 11 percent better than league average when adjusted for ballpark and opponent) thanks to a turbo sinker (a pitch he’s thrown roughly 80 percent of the time in his career) and the fearlessness to pitch to contact in an environment that did not necessarily reward such a strategy. The former second-round selection was a career 36-32 with a 4.65 ERA in Coors Field, and 36-36 with a 4.39 ERA on the road.

Cook’s stuff makes him something of an outlier. Since 2000, just 34 pitchers in the majors have thrown at least 120 innings in a season, struck out fewer than 4.5 batters per nine innings yet produced an ERA+ of 100 or better (meaning league average or better). Only seven pitchers have done it multiple times. Cook has done it four times, more than any other pitcher in the majors since 2000. So, while he doesn’t represent the typical profile for a successful pitcher either in the AL East (which last saw such a season in 2006, when Chien-Ming Wang had such a year) or, for that matter, the majors, Cook has shown an ability to succeed in a fashion where others can’t.

However, he is now a couple years removed from the peak that made him one of the more effective pitchers the Rockies have ever had (and that led Colorado to sign the right-hander to a three-year, $29.5 million deal on which the Rockies declined a team option for 2012). Cook suffered a broken right index finger in spring training in 2011, didn’t pitch in a game until June and suffered from diminished command all year. The result was easily the worst season of Cook’s career: a 3-10 record and 6.03 ERA, along with a 1.691 WHIP, in 18 games (17 starts) and 97 innings.

That represented the continuation of a trend of decline. Since an All-Star 2008 in which he went 16-9 with a 3.96 ERA in 211 innings, Cook saw his ERA grow every year (from 3.96 to 4.16 to 5.08 to 6.03). His walks and WHIP also got worse on an annual basis, with his ERA+ and innings totals declining every year. Durability has also been an ongoing issue, as he has just two career seasons of 200+ innings, and three seasons of 160 or more innings. Some of that involved freak health issues — for instance, nearly fatal blood clots in his lungs in 2004 — but whatever the reason, he has not been a perennial innings eater.

That said, despite the physical woes, Cook is now believed to be healthy, and he has a close relationship with new Red Sox pitching coach Bob McClure, with whom he worked when McClure was a minor league coach in the Rockies’ system. He also will encounter another familiar face in Sox third baseman Kevin Youkilis, with whom he played on a national championship AAU travel team when both were 15.

Cook will compete for a rotation spot in spring training, joining a lengthening line of candidates for the last two spots in the rotation. Currently, the Sox will feature pitchers such as Daniel Bard, Alfredo Aceves, Felix Doubront, Andrew Miller, Carlos Silva and Cook in their rotation competition. Intriguingly, Silva, like Cook, is a pitcher whose best years occurred despite low strikeout rates (while Cook leads the majors in seasons of 120-plus innings with an ERA+ of 100 or better and a strikeout rate of 4.5 or worse, Silva is second in the majors since 2000 with three such years; his 4.0 strikeouts per nine innings are second lowest in the majors — to Cook — among starters with at least 1,000 innings over the last decade) — something that one source suggested was a coincidence rather than some kind of blueprint the Sox were seeking for buy-low starters.

If Cook is healthy and able to return to his peak, then the Sox will benefit from a pitcher who, at his best, isn’t terribly far removed in effectiveness from someone like Mark Buehrle, the left-hander whom the Marlins signed to a four-year, $58 million deal (in no small part because Buehrle has been one of the most consistent and durable pitchers in the game over the last decade) who is also a pitcher who succeeds despite low strikeout rates. And if Cook is either unhealthy or unable to pitch effectively, then the risk for the Sox will be minimal given the nature of a minor league contract.

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  • ne711

    An aging pitcher with an injury history. Whoopie!

  • Voice of Reason

    Best pure sinkerballer of the past decade?  Really.  How about Brandon Webb.

  • Alex Speier

    Webb generated swings and misses in volume. There haven’t been many guys like Cook, who pours in sinker after sinker, gets contact, can’t get (and, in all likelihood, doesn’t try very hard to get) swings and misses, yet still enjoyed a sustainable run of success as an above-average pitcher. 

  • Boobe032

    red sox have too much money tied up in other interests then to spend on the red sox,  a racing team a futbol team ,red sox are peeking as to how to raise money cant keep up raising prices, I say in about 5 years the red sox owners will be near broke ,with the way they waste thier money on ball players

  • Bumps 69

    silva and cook. better print the playoff tickets! ben you have worked hard on these deals take a vaca you have earned it!

  • Normdubois

     Another great Red Sox announcement, Boo who!  Aaron Cook is a pitcher who has agreed to
     terms (1.5 million), pending a physical, for a minor league deal and ‘ if ‘ he makes the big league
     roster.  Maybe this Cook will be great for the clubhouse.   

  • Dano50

    Keep talking.  There might be two or three readers that don’t know how stupid you are Boobee.  Do try to erase all doubt.

  • Basehits406

       If he can give them 8 to 10 wins or good quality starts, this is a good move.  Otherwise, the contract should include a map of Pawtucket.

  • Anonymous

    At least Jenks was a has been. Ths guy is a never was. This organazation. You get what you pay for.

  • Anonymous

    Time for a new requirement for owners. If they want to join this privledged club,their first, and only priority is producing a WS quality team. It’s time for Henry to sell the club. The thrill is gone for him.

  • Anonymous

    You can’t be serious? Silva and Cook? That is bottom feeding by a team owned by a billionaire.

  • Anonymous

    Silva and Cook. I’m getting goosebumps. 

  • Anonymous

    Wanted. Filthy rich owner. Must be a N.E. native and a diehard Red Sox fan.Must know the team’s history of failure and must have lived through much of it.

  • Joebloom53

    does this cook fry chicken?

  • Wmeritz

    Considering what is available , Cook is low risk. One can only hope that he can recover his previous form and help the team.

    Like other teams, the Sox too have put up the Help Wanted sign for pitchers.

  • Boomer

    I saw him the last two years with the Rockies, and it wasn’t pretty.  Low expectations…

  • rlburnside

    If wishes were horses we’d all own a (Colorado) ranch,

  • Smen349201

    too bad pr1994

  • Gmaglongpa

    Yes, Elway lied! Tebow is a quarterback of the future. Manning, the past. What will they do when he gets hurt? Elway you suck!!

  • PatsFan

    Tebow is a side show dude.  Broncos are waaaaaay better off with Manning and in the case he was injured, still will be waaaaaaay better off with whomever is backing up him up. Be glad this circus is over and there is a 4 time league MVP & Superbowl champion at the helm.    

  • Mkkowen

    Keep Tebow. Who else could have the chance to practice with John Elway and Peyton Manning.

  • ROCK

    The Broncos have made a good decision getting Tebow. Now make another good decision and keep him!

  • John23

    Broncos need to keep Tebow. Yes, it’s Manning’s team now, but they are going to have to rely on a backup and yes I would want Tebow on my team. The kid has spark, he finds a way to win. He is a winner. He is a keeper no matter how obnoxious the decision might appear to some

  • Pr1994

    Wherever, whatever Tim Tebow does will be done with class. Most people can’t comprehend this quality in a person because they never personally owned it. Denver’s loss not Tim Tebow’s.

  • Julesnicole3

    So sad to see how it all was handled. I remember when Elway was drafted….many years of growing and not winning…until many seasons down the road. How sad to see Tebow not given the chance to grow(like elway was allowed)…Tebow turned Denver around and has a HUGE FAN base in Denver !
    Manning…yes , is one of the best…but not the youngest QB any more with one hit it could be over and who will we have as a back-up???? Shame on you Elway ….Tebow will be followed by Denver fans wherever he goes and be appreciated for the energy and excitement he brings to the field and sport of football.
    Very disappointed !!!

  • Azuablue

    There are no “hard Hitting’ safetys in the league anymore.  Hard hitting has been outlawed

  • Dano S

    Anderson will get big bucks from an other team, Pats will address this need with signing Andre Carter and thru the Draft.Top free agents I like.1 Marcus Trufant CB 2 Dominque Foxworth
    3 Tashard Choice RB 4 Derek Landri DT 5 Jeff Faine C 6 Joseph Addai RB.
    Pats Mock Draft 33.0 1 Whitney Mercilus DE Illinois 1 Vinny Curry DE Marshall
    2 Jamell Fleming CB Oklahoma 2 Harrison Smith S ND 3 David Molk C Michigan
    4 Davin Maggett RB Maryland.

  • Anonymous

    I imagine if the Pats see value within their price range thay would’ve locked him up already. A.Carter is an unknown as to when he’ll be rehabbed and what toll the injury will have on his effectiveness. It would be nice to go into the draft with at least one more “Elephant” type DE/OLB signed.

  • Anonymous

    Buyer beware….Mark Anderson will not be able to substain high energy for a full season as an every down player. He is at his best as a rotational pass rusher. Mark may be a disappointment if a team signs him for big money only to see his numbers fall during a grueling season. He was a good fit in the Pats defense as a rotational pass rusher. That is his strength and not an every down player. His effectiveness will diminish the longer he is on the field.

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