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Worst-case scenario for Jacoby Ellsbury? Very, very bad 04.13.12 at 8:46 pm ET
By Alex Speier

Every member of the Red Sox saw the play that injured Jacoby Ellsbury. But until they got to their clubhouse, they did not realize quite how serious and how alarming it really was. Player after player was made uncomfortable just at the sight of Rays shortstop Reid Brignac‘s knee driving into the back of Ellsbury’s shoulder as the Red Sox leadoff hitter — who was running on the full-count pitch, and thus in position to take out Brignac’s legs — slid hard into second base in a futile attempt to break up a double play.

Aside from diagnosing the obvious — a right shoulder injury — the Red Sox had no further word (at least officially) about the precise nature of the injury. But one player’s description of the word inside the Sox clubhouse was revealing.

“The only thing we’ve even heard is probably the same thing that everyone has been hearing, which is that it felt like something moved a little bit,” Kevin Youkilis relayed.

Obviously, movement inside of a shoulder is potentially very, very bad news for the Red Sox. One orthopedist, who had no direct knowledge of Ellsbury’s case, nonetheless saw the replay and heard Youkilis’ description and suggested it was difficult to consider the forecast for the runner-up in last year’s AL MVP balloting anything but severe.

Dr. Christopher Geary, the head of sports medicine at Tufts Medical School, said that the injury looked like “either a shoulder subluxation or a torn rotation cuff. I would think six to eight weeks best case.”

UPDATE: An industry source with knowledge of the situation confirmed Geary’s analysis, and said that Ellsbury likely had suffered a subluxation or dislocation of his shoulder.

That best-case scenario would involve a course of rest and rehab. It is worth noting that Derek Jeter suffered a similar injury on Opening Day in 2003, when Blue Jays catcher Ken Huckaby landed on his shoulder on a play at third base. Jeter rehabbed and was back in six weeks, and performed at an exceptional level (.324 average, .393 OBP, .844 OPS) in 119 games that year.

However, Geary also noted that sometimes rehab isn’t enough with shoulder injuries, and surgery becomes necessary. In such a scenario, he said, Ellsbury could be out for the year.

Until more specifics about Ellsbury’s injury become available, there remains a chance that his injury is less severe than it appeared. That, at least, is the hope of his teammates.

“You’re not going to get any better by losing him for a while,” said David Ortiz. “Hopefully things don’t go the way it looked like in the video.”

That said, every proclamation by a player that the Sox hoped for the best was tinged with another reality — namely, that there was an undeniable reality involving potential worst-case scenarios that would leave the Sox without one of their best players for weeks, months, perhaps even the year.

In that respect, it was difficult to avoid the echoes of the 2010 season, when Ellsbury collided with Adrian Beltre in the sixth game of the year and for all intents and purposes was lost for the rest of the year. This time, an injury incurred in the Sox’ seventh game may or may not prove as damaging, but for the Sox, until the precise diagnosis and prognosis are established, the team will have little choice but to hold its collective breath about an injury that has the potential to alter the course of the season.

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  • http://twitter.com/chickenbaconran james flannery

    This could be the key injury that wrecks the season. Just don’t see his production made up by any of the other outfielders on the roster.

  • Anonymous

    We’re screwed. 

  • Ian M

    please let this be untrue 

  • fubar

    Hey! I can diagnose any disease or injury from my laptop. Call me if you need any stupid info

  • RedHat16

    that doesn’t look good sox fans…. :/ never wanna see guys hurt. i have a history of right shoulder problems from playin rugby, and let me tell you, they can have extremely lengthy rehab periods….

  • PORAJMUS

    LET US ALL PRAY THAT IS NOT SERIOUS.

  • Jnp1979

    Atleast it wasn’t a teammate who hurt him this time.

  • Run and hide

    Crawford is now hiding. He might be asked to play and that would ruin his retirement with full pay.

  • Timinhonolulu

    So the prognosis is from a doctor who didn’t examine him but is quoted making a guess? Why not really take a stand and guess he needs to have his arm amputated?

    The league reports him as day to day. I’m waiting to hear the results of the MRI.

  • http://www.facebook.com/jamesfreilly James F. Reilly

    I think the doctor being quoted here is an SOSH regular who, if you go over there and read the thread on the subject, readily admits this is nothing but his hypothesis based on what he saw (which was the same video we all saw). That being said, he’s been right before (re; Bailey’s thumb injury). Still, I’ve got a friend who suffers subluxations on the regular basis (despite three surgeries) and, at least in his case, he’s usually doped up and in a sling for a few weeks and right back out on the basketball court a short time after that. I think it comes down to how much pain Ellsbury’s willing/able to play with. Personally, I think Scott Boras will push for surgery seeing as how Ellsbury’s a free agent after 2013. We all saw how Boras protected him after the rib debacle of 2010! 

  • Tim wing

    too bad johnny Damon just signed with the Indians, he could have played Left field and Hit leadoff!

  • http://www.facebook.com/jherrera617 Joseph Jonathan Herrera

    He didn’t come back a couple years ago, I doubt he would’ve now

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Kadyam-Raja/100003608817630 Kadyam Raja

    Watch Jacoby Ellsbury Right Shoulder Injury on Friday Game Video here

    http://x.co/jIDy

  • Bielawski82

    You guys are so quick to jump ship!  Let’s assume the worst and assume he’s gone for the year.  No excuses… this is still a 170 million/payroll team.  They can’t replace him, but they can find decent talent to fill in.  Game on…

  • Tim R

    Thankfully Ells throws with his left arm so the strain on his right shoulder is minimized when it comes to playing cf.

    This team is getting Crawford, Ellsbury, Bailey and Dice back in the coming months.
    If they can stay close the first half of the year the rest of the AL better watch out in the 2nd half.

    Btw this shorthanded scenario is where Valentine is going to shine as a roster/game manager.
    Francona’s strength was in dealing with personalities. Tito was passive and a below par game manager. Valentine is the right guy for this job.

  • Pfrates

    However, he bats with his right arm forward and gets most of his power from his right arm when he bats. So yes it’s minimized in the field, but when he hits is another problem. Ells is out til the All Star break like Bailey. No doubt about that.

  • Anonymous

    Is breaking up a double play really worth a head first arms extended slide?  In a championship game I might say yes.   On and every day basis I think not.

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