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Saturday’s Red Sox-Blue Jays matchups: Clay Buchholz vs. Carlos Villanueva 09.15.12 at 9:59 am ET
By Nick O'Malley

Clay Buchholz

Following Friday night’s rematch of two starters that faced off in last week’s Red Sox-Blue Jays series, Saturday’s pitching matchup will feature another pair of starters who took the mound opposite each other in that series: Clay Buchholz and Carlos Villanueva.

The workhorse of the Red Sox rotation, Buchholz (11-6, 4.46 ERA) not only has had the best performances out of the team’s rotation down the stretch, but also has bared a heavy load of innings. In his last 10 starts, Buchholz has failed to pitched at least seven full innings just once and has limited the opposition to four runs or less in all but one outing as well.

Boasting a 3-4 record with a 3.32 ERA in the second half, Buchholz has stepped up to become the team’s ace down the stretch, and has been particularly effective against the Blue Jays, going 1-1 with a 3.24 ERA against them this year. Over the course of his career, Buchholz has been consistently dominant against Toronto, going 8-4 with a 2.71 ERA, averaging over six innings per appearance and holding the current Blue Jays lineup to a .183 batting average against.

Last week against the Blue Jays, Buchholz nearly went the distance, giving up a fourth run on a sacrifice fly with two outs in the bottom of ninth before being replaced by Junichi Tazawa. The final run would ultimately be the game-winner as the Blue Jays won 4-3, with Buchholz taking the loss.

Villanueva, meanwhile, earned a no decision in that outing, going six innings and giving up three earned runs, all three of which came off of home runs from Jacoby Ellsbury and Dustin Pedroia. The outing was very similar to Villanueva’s first start against the Red Sox this season, when he went 6 1/3 innings while giving up three runs, earning a win in the outing. Allowing up a run for every two innings against Boston is nothing new for Villanueva, whose career ERA against the Red Sox is right at 4.50, or a run every other inning.

Against the lineup that he will see Saturday, Villanueva has not pitched particularly well. In 63 collective plate appearances, the Red Sox are hitting .291 with an OPS of .971 against Villanueva. The three Sox that match up best against Villanueva are Pedroia, Ellsbury and Cody Ross, all of whom have OPS totals of at least 1.194 with at least eight plate appearances for each of them.

Red Sox vs. Villanueva (RHP)

Dustin Pedroia (11 plate appearances): .400 BA/.455 OBP/1.000 SLG, 2 home runs, 2 RBIs, 1 walk, 1 strikeout

Jacoby Ellsbury (9): .375/.444/.750, 1 home run, 4 RBIs, 1 walk, 1 strikeout

Cody Ross (8): .667/.750/1.000, 2 doubles, 2 walks

James Loney (7): .143/.143/.429, 1 triple, 1 strikeout

Scott Podsednik (7): .000/.000/.000, 1 strikeout

Jarrod Saltalamacchia (5): .200/.200/.800, 1 home run, 3 RBIs, 1 strikeout

Pedro Ciriaco (4): .250/.250/.250

Daniel Nava (4): .000/.500/.000, 1 walk, 2 strikeouts

Mike Aviles (3): .000/.000/.000

Ryan Kalish (3): .500/.667/.500, 1 walk, 1 strikeout

Ryan Lavarnway (2): .500/.500/1.000, 1 double

Blue Jays vs. Buchholz (RHP)

Adam Lind (34 plate appearances): .303 BA/.324 OBP/.515 SLG, 1 double, 2 home runs, 3 RBIs, 1 walk, 6 strikeouts

Jeff Mathis (16): .167/.313/.167, 2 RBIs, 3 walks, 4 strikeouts

Edwin Encarnacion (15): .071/.133/.071, 1 walk, 2 strikeouts

Yunel Escobar (14) .222/.462/.556, 1 home run, 1 RBI, 4 walks

Rajai Davis (13): .200/.385/.200, 3 walks, 2 strikeouts

J.P. Arencebia (11): .000/.000/.000, 3 strikeouts

Omar Vizquel (10): .143/.200/.143, 2 RBIs, 1 walk, 1 strikeout

Kelly Johnson (8): .000/.286/.000, 2 walks, 3 strikeouts

Brett Lawrie (8): .125/.125/.125

Colby Rasmus (8): 167/.286/.167, 1 strikeout

Anthony Gose (4): .000/.000/.000, 1 strikeout

Mike McCoy (4): .000/.000/.000, 1 strikeout

Adeiny Hechavarria (4): .333/.333/.333, 1 RBI

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  • San Diego Dreamer

    You’ve done your homework

  • Dano S

    Thanks Enjoy the Draft!

  • innovator1

    NO Brian Hartline…..We need downfield hammers….Hartline will only create separation and get behind the secondary when the corner and safety miscommunicate with one another…He won’t physically make the play….

  • Dhow823

    I agree with most of your stuff, can’t say that often about anybody, well done. However, I do not agree with your Offensive FA acquisitions. I really don’t see them signing any RB’s this offseason as they already have decisions/competition in Ridley, Vereen, Woody, Bolden, Demps…I doubt they roster 5 RB’s, if they do I doubt it’s not those 5, and Demps was signed only after Bolden went down I believe…So, I don’t really see the need to bring in Greene (like addai) to pay $ to & cut. WR wise, I unfortunately actually do think they will sign Hartline but am praying so hard against it that I just wanted to say I disagree. I was raised to root for OSU, I’ve seen Brian Hartline play much more than I prefer, but he does fit the “bill”. We’re looking for a big, athletic receiver. To me though, he’s not big enough at 6’2 or play big enough for that height, he’s not too fast and he’s not the best of route runners. I think he looks like he fits the bill, his price MAY fit the bill, but I don’t think he can do much to propel a team. I’m dying for a 6’2-6’3 or ^ who can go up and grab a pass in mid-air, and I want a burner. 2 WR’s is all we need, we can actually do without Welker ( I do want Welker back of course) IF we have a big boy WR and some speed. We always lack speed, always. Would be nice to see Demps bring some of that to the table out of the backfield this season. Also regarding the draft, I do think they will take either a corner or safety in/or by the 5th round. I think they grab an O-lineman as you predict, but I’d swap maybe your 2nd 5th rounder for the 7, position wise in my opinion. They wont draft a DB early as they have no success at it, but I can see them preferring to at least attempt to groom a better prospect this year than a 7. Lastly, what do you think the chances are that they do in fact trade back(we know they will) for a good amount of picks and move some/all of those picks for a player?

  • RobDX

    I don’t think we need Jackson, I would replace that with Randy Starks, Miami. Great Pocket pusher, but bulky. A Poor mans Ngata.

  • GO PATS

    Pats Free Agents Wes Welker, Mike Wallace, Dwight Freeney,

  • Dano S

     Great idea Starks would help with interior pass rush greatly.

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