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How Red Sox view Joel Hanrahan, Brock Holt 12.26.12 at 1:56 pm ET
By Alex Speier

Joel Hanrahan

In Joel Hanrahan and Brock Holt, the Red Sox acquired a pitcher whom they consider an elite closer along with a middle infielder with a nice range of skills who serves as a solid complementary/depth option for the major league roster.

Hanrahan, 31, was an All-Star closer for the Pirates in the last two years, during which he recorded 76 saves (in 84 attempts, good for a 90.4 percent success rate) with a 2.24 ERA. During that time, opponents had just a .205 batting average against the right-hander, including a .187 mark in 2012.

While his walk rate spiked from 2.1 per nine innings in 2011 to 5.4 in 2012, the Sox — who scouted the right-hander heavily in September — did not see diminished stuff. His fastball remained a 96 mph offering, and his slider remained a wipeout pitch, capable of getting swings and misses in volume. Hanrahan did struggle with both command and results in the final month of the season, the Sox felt that hi struggles reflected the fact that he was pitching in uncompetitive situations, both because the Pirates had spiraled rapidly out of contention and because Hanrahan was pitching primarily in non-save situations, much as was the case when Jonathan Papelbon pitched in non-save situations.

In a best-case scenario for the Sox, Hanrahan gives the team an elite closer who can help the team to create a deep bullpen, with Hanrahan the closer behind setup men Andrew Bailey, Junichi Tazawa and Koji Uehara (and, if he is not traded, Alfredo Aceves), along with left-handed options Andrew Miller, Franklin Morales and Craig Breslow, along with a wild card in Daniel Bard.

While the Sox had a relative wealth of talented arms last year, the absence and then struggles of Bailey and the inconsistency of Aceves resulted in a number of Sox losses in the late innings. The team was just 35 of 57 in save opportunities, a poor 61 percent conversion rate.

While Hanrahan is eligible for free agency after 2013, if he performs at an elite level, the Sox would consider making him a one-year qualifying offer either to bring him back to Boston on a short-term deal or in order to secure a draft pick if he signed elsewhere. (However, the limited market this winter for free agent Rafael Soriano — caused in no small part by the fact that he would cost a signing team a draft pick — serves as a cautionary tale for the idea of draft pick compensation.)

Meanwhile, if the Sox struggle and are out of it at the trade deadline, the team anticipates that — so long as he is healthy and performing up to his abilities — he would have considerable trade value at the deadline. Alternately, Hanrahan would give the Sox greater flexibility to deal from a deep group of potential impact right-handers, either this offseason or during the year.

As for Holt, the Sox consider him a prospect, albeit a slightly older one at 24. He was selected by the Pirates as a senior out of Rice in the ninth round of the 2009 draft and has advanced steadily (despite a knee injury that cost him a considerable amount of 2010), reaching the big leagues at the end of 2012.

He’s a middle infielder who has played primarily shortstop in the minors but who is also capable of playing second. As a left-handed middle infielder, Holt fits a profile that can be hard to find (something reinforced by the $9.5 million deal for left-handed-hitter Stephen Drew), with some useful skills that profile to average or slightly above.

In four minor league seasons, he’s hit .317/.381/.427/.808 with 11 homers and 49 steals. As those numbers would suggest, he has limited power and is more of a singles and doubles hitter who uses the whole field and can run well. He profiles as an above-average runner an good fielder who can also offer roster value as a defensive replacement and pinch-runner, while offering depth in case of injury at a number of positions. The Sox viewed him as someone who plays with terrific energy, a grinder who is all over the field. He also has three options remaining, making him a good roster depth option for multiple seasons.

In order to acquire the two players from the Pirates, the Sox gave up Mark Melancon, Stolmy Pimentel, Jerry Sands and Ivan De Jesus. Melancon, Pimentel and Sands all have interesting upside, and the Pirates could well benefit considerably from the deal. But while they were motivated to move one of their most expensive players (Hanrahan will likely earn in the vicinity of $7 million) to address other needs, the Sox were motivated to move players off the back end of their 40-man roster. The team was maxed out, with a need to create a roster spot for Stephen Drew and perhaps Mike Napoli (or, of his deal falls apart, another first baseman).

In this deal, the Sox took three players who wouldn’t necessarily have fit on the opening day roster (and Melancon, notably, doesn’t have any options left), in exchange for an All-Star who’s been one of the better performers at his highly specialized position.

The Sox are well aware that Melancon — who was excellent in September — could excel and return to closer status in the NL Central, the division where he emerged as a standout reliever in 2011 with the Astros.

There is also belief that Pimentel’s three-pitch arsenal — a mid-90s fastball, a changeup that can be a strong swing-and-miss offering in stretches and a slider that has shown potential — could allow him to emerge as a soilid big leaguer, whether out of the bullpen or in the back of the rotation — but he’s developed slower than expected in his two years on the 40-man roster, never pitching above Double-A, and alternating outstanding stretches with struggles at that level in 2012. He’ll use his final option in 2013, and with the Sox’ 40-man roster at capacity, Pimentel represented the type of player whom it made sense for the Sox to move.

Sands is an intriguing player who showed big power in the minors, though with a high strikeout track record that created uncertainty about whether he could be more than a bench player offering depth at first and in the two outfield corners. He, too, was likely to open 2013 in the minors, as the acquisition of Jonny Gomes and presumed acquisition of Napoli rendered him redundant. If he can reach his considerable power potential, then the 25-year-old would represent a nice get for the Pirates, particularly given the dearth of power in the game right now. But, again, Sands is a more advanced but lower-ceiling player than other prospects in the Sox system such as Bryce Brentz.

De Jesus was a spare part, a backup utility infielder whose primary position is second base – less valuable than the more defensively versatile Pedro Ciriaco and than Holt, who is a better runner and defender than De Jesus. He was designated for assignment, cleared waivers and outrighted to the minors in November.

The Pirates did well to get a number of players who a) have plenty of control (Melancon won’t be eligible for free agency until after 2016, and Pimentel, Sands and De Jesus all have six full years of team control) and b) offer depth and potential at a number of positions for their big league club, while the Sox potentially come out well for having gotten trade value for an impact big leaguer at a time when they had to get rid of players on the 40-man roster. They got a pitcher in Hanrahan who now likely represents their bullpen anchor while doing little to impact their anticipated big league roster for 2013.

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  • Joseph Herrera

    Draft pick compensation would also only come if he were to reject the offer.  Based on Soriano’s situation he may just accept it leaving them with a very expensive one year deal at closer.  If he pitches like he did in 2011 than sure he’s worth it, but like 2012?  Definitely some room to pause there if I’m them.

  • Buckbites

    I wouldn’t say this is lousy, but when will the Red Sox hang on to some young guys with upside and see if they pan out?  If they were 1-2 pieces away, sure — but they are in the middle of an overhaul - 

  • mm

    Brock Holt is TERRIBLE defensively. Will not ever play SS in the majors

  • http://www.facebook.com/lance.lansing.5 Lance Lansing

    To quote from this article:

    “Meanwhile, if the Sox struggle and are out of it at the trade deadline, the team anticipates that — so long as he is healthy and performing up to his abilities — he would have considerable trade value at the deadline.”
    Let me get this straight – you are telling us that a Red Sox team official fresh off a trade for a player has come out and stated on the record that said player has good trade value? 

  • Ggints11

     Brock Holt will most likely not even be on the major league roster with Pedro Ciriaco on the team! He, I’m sure, will be some security, stored in Pawtucket

  • Doug from Woburn

    This trade has had me suspicious since it was first rumored. Why would Pittsburgh trade a closer, who had 76 trades the last two years, for marginal to fair talent. If they kept him and he goes to FA they get the pick. Seems to good to be true.

  • jimbozz59

    pitt. a small mrk. team got somthing for someonethey would most likely lose

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Paul-Crowley/100001398780186 Paul Crowley

     Pirates, could not afford him dollar wise in free agency.

  • evanander

    brock holt is a better player than ciriaco by a mile

  • GeoStorm

     if the Pirates kept Hanrahan, they would only get a comp pick in the 2014 draft, if they made him a qualifying offer following the 2013 season – likely at least $13M+.  Obviously they felt the fit of the four players acquired, and the related cost, fit their plans better than paying Hanrahan $7M+ this season, and possibly $13M next season, to qualify for a 2014 draft pick.

  • http://twitter.com/JLFCASH John Fahrer

    When there’s roster flexibility to do it. These guys were spare parts and aren’t a huge loss. This trade could wind up being a steal for the Sox. Melancon will likely carry that good late season back to the NL Central and perform well. The other three guys aren’t exactly high-ceiling prospects. This is Pimentel’s last option year and he hasn’t performed well in the upper levels of the minors. Could be outrighted this time next year. Sands had a good Triple A season in a very hitter-friendly PCL park. DeJesus looked like a future star when he first got called up but hasn’t been the same since he broke his leg.

  • GeoStorm

    At least they’ll have 2013 to further evaluate their BP inventory.  At the front of the BP, Bailey will still be controllable for another season beyond this one, and Tazawa for three more beyond this one. If Bard can get things together, he is still controllable from two more years beyond 2013.   Also, Aceves, Miller, and Morales aren’t eligible for free agency until after the 2014 season.  I expect Rich Hill to come in on a minor league deal, as well, adding further LH BP depth to go along with Miller/Morales/Breslow.

    I like how the BP inventory is taking shape for 2013, and how it’s setting up for 2014.  If Bard & Bailey can pitch to their respective (healthy) pre-2012 form, I’d expect the 2013 BP to be as strong as any, with depth/options on both RH & LH side.

  • http://twitter.com/JLFCASH John Fahrer

    He can sure as hell hit though. Has all three options left so there’s plenty of time to improve his defense.

  • http://twitter.com/JLFCASH John Fahrer

    More than likely Holt will be in Pawtucket and Ciriaco will be on the Opening Day roster. But if Holt hits like he did last season and Ciriaco winds up being Darnell McDonald Part II (remember how we all loved McDonald after 2010?), we could see Holt with the big club.

  • http://twitter.com/JLFCASH John Fahrer

     Because Neil Huntington is the new Ken Williams.

  • GeoStorm

     The Pirates have been high on Pimentel for a few years…IIRC they asked about him a 2-3 years ago, when the Bay/Manny deal went down w/ Pirates/Dodgers.  Upside but slow developing, as the article states, and the Red Sox likely felt the consideration received, plus the spots on the 40 man roster cleared, were sufficient. 

    Considering the SP depth built up in the low minor from the last 2-3 drafts, plus the Punto deal bringing in guys like Webster & De la Rosa that were close to ready (plus Barnes)  they likely felt Pimentel was expendable.

  • Paul

    what happened to Padilla?
    Is he still on the roster?

  • JER14

    He’s a free agent and I would guess given the current bullpen depth unlikely to be resigned.

  • Joseph Herrera

    Yeah I agree GeoStorm.  It seemed to work for the Rangers the past few seasons, and Baltimore last year too.  The only way to win one-run games is to have the relief pitching to keep up.  The argument there is that the starters will not be good enough to bridge the gap, but I think the starters may be better than people give credit for.

  • Franky

    You can have the best bullpen in baseball but the reason they had issues last year was the fact they were pitching 4-5 innings of relief a game.  The starters were terrible in going deep into games.  Hope these starters can throw more innings for the teams sake.

  • Jimmyarnott

    This team only converted 61% of their save chances last year. They needed to rebuild the bullpen. In my opinion they have done a good job of addressing this issue. How many extra wins would a bullpen conversion rate of 80-85 percent give you? Would it be enough to put them in wildcard contention? They have improved the starting pitching with Dempster. They have improved the defence with Victorino and Drew. Offensively, the real improvement won’t come until Bogartes, Bradley and possibly Bentz have a couple of years of major league experience under their belt. This will be an interesting team to watch, unlike last year when it was like watching a AAA team. Go Sox !!!

  • John Cate

    Sands is nothing but a minor-league hitter; those kinds of numbers at Albuquerque don’t translate to solid MLB production. And Pimentel hasn’t developed. I would have traded both of them just to get Holt, who looks like he can at least hit in the majors.

  • John Cate

    They can’t afford him. The Pirates are cheap.

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/David-Palozej/100003149722784 David Palozej

    Why not G Jones in trade? Great platoon with Gomes in LF or Great platoon with Napoli at 1B.  LH with .888 OPS vs RHP! Plays 1B & OF! Pirates don’t need! Pittsburg has G Sanchez from Miami and Sands to play 1B…and 6 other Outfielders…Jones not expected to start??

  • Cocktailsfor2

    Paying a closer 10% of your team’s entire payroll is not a recipe for success.

  • Cocktailsfor2

    Also, he would only be a FA if he declined a qualifying offer, likely to be $13MM + .

    No way on earth the Bucs do that.

  • Gary

     How about reading the article? It was the writer that speculated that Hanrahan might be traded, not a Red Sox team official.

  • mjp

     Wouldn’t they need to offer him a qualifying offer? The rumor is that Hanrahan would likely accept said offer since teams are reluctant to give up a draft pick for a reliever, thus making the market down and his likelihood of getting the deal he wants much lower.

  • My10sense

    Why was Drew described as  left-handed hitting, but Holt as left-handed?  Are there, or have there ever been, any left-handers playing major league shortstop (or anywhere else in the infield left of first)? 

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