Buster Olney on M&M: ‘I would be shocked if the Red Sox gave up someone like [Xander] Bogaerts’
|07.30.13 at 1:07 pm ET|
ESPN’s Buster Olney joined Mut & Merloni on Tuesday to discuss potential trade targets for the Red Sox with the non-waiver trade deadline Thursday.
The Red Sox have been reported to be the most likely candidate to land Cliff Lee, but trading for Lee will take several top prospects, according to Olney.
‘I think they are willing to trade him if someone gives them exactly what they want,’ Olney said. ‘I don’t think that they are necessarily that motivated. I think someone has to give them a home run deal. Does that include [Xander] Bogaerts? Does that include Bogaerts-plus? Other guys? Either way you’re talking about a guy who is guaranteed a little more than $30 million a year for each of the next two years because of the buyout. It doesn’t figure that way, the payout doesn’t, but that is what his average annual value is for the next two years. That is crazy money. That is an extraordinary sum of money.
‘People around baseball ‘ the way that the sport is going, they are looking at recent examples with the Giants trading for Carlos Beltran put Zach Wheeler in the deal and now the Mets are sitting there with one of the best young pitchers in baseball in Zach Wheeler. People look at that and say, ‘Boy, was that a mistake.’ Last year when the Angels traded for Zach Greinke and Jean Segura was in the deal and now the Brewers have one of the best young shortstops in baseball and the Angels don’t have anything to show for that deal. Recent history will tell executives that you don’t trade your best prospects anymore because the sport is veering toward younger, cheaper players, and that is why I would be shocked if the Red Sox gave up someone like Bogaerts.’
Another top-tier starting pitcher that the Red Sox reportedly are after is Jake Peavy, who was scratched from his planned start Tuesday. Olney said that the White Sox are not satisfied with any of the offers they have received for Peavy yet.
‘I think the White Sox are going to trade him,’ Olney said. ‘I know some of the executives who have spoken with the White Sox are convinced that they are going to trade him between now and the deadline. Friends of Peavy are saying that he wants to go and that he wants a chance to win someplace.
‘They called some of the teams involved yesterday and said ‘ because they weren’t satisfied with the offers, and I can’t tell you exactly what their request to the Red Sox was ‘ but they basically said to the teams that, ‘Look, we are fully prepared to go on with Jake Peavy. We will build around Jake Peavy.’ And the teams on the other side were saying, ‘Yeah, OK.’ They are not buying that poker move, and I still think right now it comes down to Oakland vs. the Red Sox.”
While the White Sox were initially looking for top pitching prospects in return for Peavy, they appear to be broadening their requests to all top prospects now, according to Olney. He said Peavy might be worth the hefty asking price, though.
‘I think that Jake Peavy is extremely underrated in terms of his value in the marketplace because you’re talking about a guy who last year pitched 219 innings with a 3.37 ERA in that ballpark ‘ a bandbox,’ Olney said. ‘I know from talking with Jake repeatedly over the last year and a half ‘his health issue this year wasn’t an arm issue, it was a broken rib. He is feeling great. He had that radical surgery a couple of years ago, he was actually the first player to ever have that type of surgery and he felt great.
‘When you talk to some front office people around the sport they talk about how last year he really flew under the radar of how good he was. He is a terrific leader, and with guys going to Boston or going to New York or going to Philadelphia, you always ask the question, ‘Can they handle it?’ Jake Peavy can absolutely handle the atmosphere in Boston.’
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